8:00PM : Welcome to the Live Blog for tonight. This is where we will follow the election results and provide some commentary about the races tonight. In Connecticut, election night results speed tends to be unpredictable, but we will see what happens.

There is one special election tonight in CT State House District 113. This Republican stronghold is centered on parts of the city of Shelton. The two candidates facing off tonight are Republican nominee Amy Romano and Democratic nominee Michael Duncan. This district voted for Donald Trump 54.66% to 43.90% for Kamala Harris (Trump +11.76). However, on the local level, the district is very republican with now State Sen. Jason Perillo never getting less than 64% of the vote since his victory in a 2007 special election.

If would like a more detailed discussion of the election taking place tonight, I wrote a previous article on March 13th discussing the district information and candidate bios.

8:05 PM – Hard to say when we would get the first results. There are only two precincts in this district. We got the first numbers at 8:38 in the Feb 21st election, but we did not get any numbers from the Shelton area until 9:40pm that day, so we will see!

8:40 PM – No results yet. But looking at the precinct data from the presidential election. The smaller of the two precincts, the Elizabeth Shelton School, voted for Trump by nearly 20 points (59-39). The larger precinct at the Shelton Intermediate School voted for Trump by a smaller 7.5 point margin (53-46).

Information found on the Secretary of State Website

9:15 PM – Both precincts have reported results and we have a winner.

As expected, Republican nominee Amy Romano is now state rep-elect. She wins a narrow 52.55 to 47.45 win against Democratic nominee Mike Duncan.

Despite the Democratic overperformances across the country, I expected a Republican overperformance in this district to the history of Republican dominance in the downballot offices of this section of Southwestern Connecticut. In addition to previous election results, favoring the Republican by nearly 30 points.

However, Duncan’s 5.1% margin of victory is a Democratic overperformance. Trump won here by 11.76 points, so that is a 6.6% Democratic overperformance in this Republican stronghold.

The streak of Democratic overperformances in special elections holds strong!